<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<journal>
<title>Medical Journal of the Islamic Republic Of Iran</title>
<title_fa>مجله پزشکی جمهوری اسلامی ایران</title_fa>
<short_title>Med J Islam Repub Iran</short_title>
<subject>Medical Sciences</subject>
<web_url>http://mjiri.iums.ac.ir</web_url>
<journal_hbi_system_id>2</journal_hbi_system_id>
<journal_hbi_system_user>journal2</journal_hbi_system_user>
<journal_id_issn>1016-1430</journal_id_issn>
<journal_id_issn_online>2251-6840</journal_id_issn_online>
<journal_id_pii>8</journal_id_pii>
<journal_id_doi>10.18869/mjiri</journal_id_doi>
<journal_id_iranmedex></journal_id_iranmedex>
<journal_id_magiran></journal_id_magiran>
<journal_id_sid>14</journal_id_sid>
<journal_id_nlai>8888</journal_id_nlai>
<journal_id_science>13</journal_id_science>
<language>en</language>
<pubdate>
	<type>jalali</type>
	<year>1399</year>
	<month>10</month>
	<day>1</day>
</pubdate>
<pubdate>
	<type>gregorian</type>
	<year>2021</year>
	<month>1</month>
	<day>1</day>
</pubdate>
<volume>35</volume>
<number>1</number>
<publish_type>online</publish_type>
<publish_edition>1</publish_edition>
<article_type>fulltext</article_type>
<articleset>
	<article>


	<language>en</language>
	<article_id_doi></article_id_doi>
	<title_fa></title_fa>
	<title>A description of spatial-temporal patterns of the novel COVID-19 outbreak in the neighbourhoods’ scale in Tehran, Iran</title>
	<subject_fa>Epidemiology</subject_fa>
	<subject>Epidemiology</subject>
	<content_type_fa>Original Research</content_type_fa>
	<content_type>Original Research</content_type>
	<abstract_fa></abstract_fa>
	<abstract>&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;Analyzing and monitoring the spatial-temporal patterns of the new coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic can assist local authorities and researchers in detecting disease outbreaks in the early stages. Because of different socioeconomic profiles in Tehran&amp;#39;s areas, we will provide a clear picture of the pandemic distribution in Tehran&amp;#39;s neighbourhoods during the first months of its spread from February to July 2020, employing a spatial-temporal analysis applying the geographical information system (GIS). Disease rates were estimated by location during the 5 months, and hot spots and cold spots were highlighted.&lt;br&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &lt;strong&gt;Methods:&lt;/strong&gt; This study was performed using the COVID-19 incident cases and deaths recorded in the Medical Care Monitoring Centre from February 20, to July 20, 2020. The local Getis-Ord Gi* method was applied to identify the hotspots where the infectious disease distribution had significantly clustered spatially. A statistical analysis for incidence and mortality rates and hot spots was conducted using ArcGIS 10.7 software.&lt;br&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &lt;strong&gt;Results:&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp; The addresses of 43,000 Tehrani patients (15,514 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 27,486 diagnosed as probable cases) were changed in its Geo-codes in the GIS. The highest incidence rate from February to July 2020 was 48 per 10,000 and the highest 5-month incidence rate belonged to central and eastern neighbourhoods.&amp;nbsp; According to the Cumulative Population density of patients, the higher number is estimated by more than 2500 people in the area; however, the lower number is highlighted by about 500 people in the neighborhood. Also, the results from the local Getis-Ord Gi* method indicate that COVID-19 has formed a hotspot in the eastern, southeast, and central districts in Tehran since February. We also observed a death rate hot spot in eastern areas.&lt;br&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &lt;strong&gt;Conclusion:&lt;/strong&gt; Because of the spread of COVID-19 disease throughout Tehran&amp;#39;s neighborhoods with different socioeconomic status, it seems essential to pay attention to health behaviors to prevent the next waves of the disease. The findings suggest that disease distribution has formed a hot spot in Tehran&amp;#39;s eastern and central regions.</abstract>
	<keyword_fa></keyword_fa>
	<keyword>Spatial-temporal analysis, COVID-19 outbreak, Hotspot cases, GIS, Tehran, Iran</keyword>
	<start_page>954</start_page>
	<end_page>961</end_page>
	<web_url>http://mjiri.iums.ac.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-5209-2&amp;slc_lang=en&amp;sid=1</web_url>


<author_list>
	<author>
	<first_name>Azadeh </first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Lak</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>A_Lak@sbu.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068923</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068923</orcid>
	<coreauthor>No</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>Faculty of Architecture and Urban Planning, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran </affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


	<author>
	<first_name>Ali</first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Maher</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>dralimaher@Sbmu.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068924</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068924</orcid>
	<coreauthor>Yes
</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>School of Management and Medical Education, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


	<author>
	<first_name>Alireza </first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Zali</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>alirezazali@sbmu.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068925</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068925</orcid>
	<coreauthor>No</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>Functional Neurosurgery Research Center, Shohada Tajrish Neurosurgical Center of Excellence, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


	<author>
	<first_name>Siamak </first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Badr</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>S_badr@sbu.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068926</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068926</orcid>
	<coreauthor>No</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>Faculty of Architecture and Urban Planning, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


	<author>
	<first_name>Ehsan </first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Mostafavi</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>mostafavi@pasteur.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068927</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068927</orcid>
	<coreauthor>No</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Research Centre for Emerging and Reemerging infectious diseases, Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


	<author>
	<first_name>Hamid R </first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Baradaran</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>baradaran.hr@iums.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068928</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068928</orcid>
	<coreauthor>No</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


	<author>
	<first_name>Khatereh </first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Hanani</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>K.hanani@sbmu.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068929</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068929</orcid>
	<coreauthor>No</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>Statistics &amp; Information Technology Managment, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


	<author>
	<first_name>Ara </first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Toomanian</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>a.toomanian@ut.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068930</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068930</orcid>
	<coreauthor>No</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>Department of GIS and Remote Sensing, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran </affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


	<author>
	<first_name>Davood </first_name>
	<middle_name></middle_name>
	<last_name>Khalili</last_name>
	<suffix></suffix>
	<first_name_fa></first_name_fa>
	<middle_name_fa></middle_name_fa>
	<last_name_fa></last_name_fa>
	<suffix_fa></suffix_fa>
	<email>dkhalili@endocrine.ac.ir</email>
	<code>200319475328460068931</code>
	<orcid>200319475328460068931</orcid>
	<coreauthor>No</coreauthor>
	<affiliation>Prevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran</affiliation>
	<affiliation_fa></affiliation_fa>
	 </author>


</author_list>


	</article>
</articleset>
</journal>
